Modigliani, Franco
Italian-born US economist, noted for his ‘lifecycle hypothesis’ and Modigliani-Miller theorem, established with US economist Merton Miller. He was awarded the Nobel Prize for Economics in 1985 for his analysis of household savings and financial markets.
According to English economist John Maynard Keynes, the average propensity to save - the ratio of savings to income - increases as household income increases, and yet historical evidence shows no tendency for the saving rate to rise as all households become richer. US economist Milton Friedman's ‘permanent income hypothesis’ - which states that saving is a function, not of current income, but of expected lifetime income - provides one way of reconciling cross-sectional data with time-series data on savings. Modigliani's ‘lifecycle hypothesis’ - which states that individuals save during their earning years and ‘dissave’ after retirement - provides another: although all household income is consumed over the life cycle, a growing economy produces a positive amount of total saving because youthful savers are richer and more numerous than retired dissavers. Given some assumptions about population growth and life expectancies, this argument yields a constant historical ratio between saving and income.




